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Bitcoin's Schrödinger Model 


Model Result
Bitcoin Price ($)
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Current
Price ($)
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Upside to Fair
Value (today)

Model Result
Market Cap ($)
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Current
Market Cap ($)
Summary of Assumptions
Discount Rate   (3-month t-bill rate = 4.35%)
  Stocks Loading... ...
Market value   trillions
Monetary Premium:   90.0%
Estimated Probability of Capture:   10.0%
Time to Capture years
  Bonds Loading... ...
Market value   trillions
Monetary Premium:   70.0%
Estimated Probability of Capture:   10.0%
Time to Capture years
  Gold Loading... ...
Market value   trillions
Monetary Premium:   60.0%
Estimated Probability of Capture:   70.0%
Time to Capture years
  Silver Loading... ...
Market value   trillions
Monetary Premium:   10.0%
Estimated Probability of Capture:   80.0%
Time to Capture years
  Real Estate Loading... ...
Market value   trillions
Monetary Premium:   30.0%
Estimated Probability of Capture:   5.0%
Time to Capture years
  Cryptocurrencies (ex-BTC) Loading... ...
Market value   trillions
Monetary Premium:   100%
Estimated Probability of Capture:   90.0%
Time to Capture years
  Fine Art Loading... ...
Market value   trillions
Monetary Premium:   10.0%
Estimated Probability of Capture:   10.0%
Time to Capture years
Current Price Loading... ...
Price including demonetization Loading... 100%
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"The world is given to me only once, not one existing and one perceived. Subject and object are only one. The barrier between them cannot be said to have broken down as a result of [discoveries] in the physical sciences, for this barrier does not exist"
- Schrödinger